District 6A: Strategy Board

1. What It Takes to Win & Where the Voters Are

District 6A includes Streeterville, River North, and Cabrini-Green, along with parts of the Gold Coast, West Town, Noble Square, Old Town, Wicker Park, River West, and Bucktown.

To win a progressive campaign here, you have to survive a structural "tug-of-war":

• The High-Yield Base: Your ideological base lives on the western side of the district (parts of Ward 1 and Ward 26). This is where your progressive believers are. They yield high margins.
• The Turnout Monsters: The downtown core (Ward 42 and Ward 2) contains high-rise voters who turn out at massive rates. You cannot win by ignoring them because their raw volume can swamp low-turnout progressive pockets.

The Winning Formula: Maximize turnout in the progressive West Town/Wicker Park footprint, while running a highly disciplined, policy-focused operation downtown to prevent your opponent from running up the score.

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2. The Numbers: Turnout, Win Number, & Goal Share

Based on your custom formula (weighting 2018 twice as heavy as 2022):

• 2018 Approx District 6A Turnout: ~72,000 votes
• 2022 Approx District 6A Turnout: ~58,000 votes

The Target Metrics

• The Win Number (50% + 1): 33,668 votes.
• The Goal Vote Share (53%): Target a safety margin to absorb polling errors. Your campaign target is 35,686 votes.

What These Numbers Tell You: You are building a strategy for a high-turnout environment. You cannot rely solely on a lean, targeted list of baseline progressive voters. You must scale up your field operation.

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3. Geographic Targets

The Progressive Support Engine

The largest share of likely votes to support a progressive platform is in Ward 1 and Ward 26. Focus your early volunteer energy and deep-canvassing here to run up massive 65%+ margins.

The Turnout Work Critical Zone

The area where field work matters most is Cabrini-Green and the bridging areas of Ward 27. High-rises vote automatically; gentrified areas vote out of engagement. Working-class pockets require intensive, boots-on-the-ground field infrastructure to unlock.

The Wards to "Ignore" (With a Catch)

Ward 2 and Ward 42. But don't abandon them completely! Instead of knocking on high-rise doors (which are inaccessible), use highly targeted digital ads and mailers focused on popular progressive policy framing (fiscal accountability, school safety).

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4. The 2 Core Campaign Priorities

• The Inaccessible Field Strategy: Run a two-track operation. Track A is an aggressive ground game in Wards 1, 26, and 27. Track B is a slick, digital-heavy operation targeted at Wards 2 and 42.
• The "Pragmatic Progressive" Policy Framing: Frame your progressive values through a lens of municipal competence. Talk about auditing corporate contracts to ensure tax dollars actually reach the classroom. This wins over both the progressive base and budget-conscious condo owners.